Educational Attainment
Q1. In all low-income countries across the world today, how many girls finish primary school?
There has been lots of efforts to get girls to finish primary school, e.g. providing sanitary towels. Surely, they must be at \( \ge 40% \) completion rates.
π²β β A: 20 percent
ββ β B: 40 percent
β β β C: 60 percent
Economics
Q3. In the last 20 years, the proportion of the world population living in extreme poverty has…
We’ve made too many scientific advancements for us to be worse off. Sure, inequality is growing - but [most] people are trending up.
π²β β A: almost doubled
π²β β B: remained more or less the same
β β β C: almost halved
Only 5% of Americans (and 7% of respondents) got it right.
Extreme poverty is defined as those living on less than $2.15 a day. 700m people live under the extreme poverty line. Just over half live in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Between 1980 and 2016, the average income of the bottom 50% of earners nearly doubled, as this group captured 12% of the growth in global GDP. An improvement, but the imbalance persists.
Population Distribution
Q5. There are 2 billion children in the world today, aged 0 to 15 years old. How many children will there be in the year 2100, according to the United Nations?
This is mostly a wild ass guess. Africa is projected as a growing market. Growing market means more babies. Same goes for Asia. I’m not too sure about this one though.
ββ β A: 4 billion
π²β β B: 3 billion
β β β C: 2 billion
Q6. The UN predicts that by 2100 the world population will have increased by another 4 billion people. What is the main reason?
ββ β A: There will be more children (age below 15)
β β β B: There will be more adults (age 15 to 74)
π²β β C: There will be more very old people (age 75 and older)
Natural Disaster
Disease
Since 1990, the global maternal mortality rate and the infant mortality rate have been cut by half.
Energy
Nature
Q11. In 1996, tigers, giant pandas, and black rhinos were all listed as endangered. How many of these three species are more critically endangered today?
If memes have taught me anything, pandas are dying out. I’d assume the same for rhinos because of their horns. Tigers, not so much - Princeton would have mentioned it at some point.
ββ β A: Two of them
π²β β B: One of them
β β β C: None of them
Points of View
Of ~12k people in 14 countries, the average was 2 of the first 12 questions. People were not only wrong, but systematically wrong. Random guessing would have netted 4/12. Most people have outdated knowledge, often several decades old.
I got 2/12. Turns out I’m average and a pessimist.
The overdramatic worldview: war; violence; natural disasters; corruption; rich get richer and poor get poorer; number of poor people is ever increasing; we’ll soon run out of resources.
The fact-based worldview: most people are somewhat ‘middle-income’; their girls go to school, their children get vaccinated; two-child families; want to go abroad on holiday.
We’re evolutionarily hard wired with instincts that enable swift conclusions. But we must control our appetite for drama lest we subscribe to the overdramatic worldview.
What is the better attitude to have? What spurs more action to better the world, instead of being complacent/resigned? Do people that have changed their parts of the world systematically subscribe to one more than the other?
References
- Factfulness: Ten Reasons We're Wrong About the World - and Why Things Are Better Than You Think. Hans Rosling; Anna Rosling RΓΆnnlund; Ola Rosling. Apr 3, 2018. ISBN: 978-1250107817 .
It’s hard to give pessimistic answers when ’s title says “Things Are Better Than You Think”…