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| Oct 3, 2026 | » | Case Studies in Spotting Bullshit
2 min; updated Oct 3, 2026
99.9% Caffeine-FreeAn example of how something can be true and still bullshit after a fashion. Nestle’s Hot Cocoa mix: With rich chocolate flavor and only 20 calories per single-serve packet, this cocoa makes a 99.9% caffeine-free, 8 fl oz serving. A 20oz Starbucks drip coffee has ~21mg of caffeine per ounce, and thus 0.075% caffeine by weight – strong coffee is also 99.9% caffeine-free! Time to End the Food Stamp Program?An example of how Fermi estimation can help spot bullshit in the world. ... |